{"id":215380,"date":"2019-06-05T08:21:04","date_gmt":"2019-06-05T07:21:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/?p=215380"},"modified":"2019-06-05T08:21:04","modified_gmt":"2019-06-05T07:21:04","slug":"marcs-analysis-trumps-war-of-the-world","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/marcs-analysis-trumps-war-of-the-world\/","title":{"rendered":"Marc&#8217;s Analysis: Trumps War of the World"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Hi,I said last week that &#8220;we live in such extraordinary, political times that it seems that the extremes have become the new normal&#8221;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-medium wp-image-215381\" src=\"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/trump-1-300x212.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"212\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/trump-1-300x212.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/06\/trump-1.jpg 400w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/>This week Trump has declared tariffs on Mexico (he still doesn&#8217;t &#8220;get it&#8221; that US consumers will have to pay more for their imported goods).<\/p>\n<p>He is visiting the UK for a few days and is already dictating his views on Brexit &amp; who should lead the UK.<\/p>\n<p>Now the rhetoric is starting to crank up a gear with the Chinese defence minister warning the USA to keep its nose out of the South China Seas.<\/p>\n<p>He states that China doesn&#8217;t want war but will fight for what they claim to be their territory.<\/p>\n<p>Then in the Middle East, the Iranians are saying that if there is a war that oil will go to $100 a barrel (which it probably will).<\/p>\n<p>What happened to diplomacy?<\/p>\n<p>Is nobody else concerned that the lunatics have taken over the asylum!<\/p>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><em>The key to successful trading is how MUCH you win, not how many.<\/em><\/strong><\/h4>\n<h3><\/h3>\n<h3><strong>Trading Week Ahead<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>Last week I explained how I was looking to trade from the &#8220;edges&#8221; to try and avoid the crazy moves and I will continue to do so.<\/p>\n<p>This week there is a lot of Aud news and its NFP Friday, so despite everything else that is going on around the world, we have to pay close attention to scheduled news.<\/p>\n<p><b>Last weeks Euro\/Nzd: I took half of the profit of around 80 pips at the trend line as per my plan. I then moved the stop clsoer on the 2nd part but it was unfortunately taken out on the pullback. I am still watching this pair to take it again, either at the top or if the trend line breaks and holds- see the video.<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Gbp\/Cad: Member Alvin again showed a good setup in last weeks live session: This looks interesting to short at 1.7230 area for multiple reasons. If it drops then I will definitely long at 1.6900.<\/p>\n<p><strong>GBP\/$: Politics in the UK are broken. There is no viable end in site re Brexit. Whoever becomes the new Prime Minister or even if there is a general election I just do not see a way out of the current mess. I am only interested if price pulls back. At the moment it just keeps dropping but its too far away from emas etc to place a stop.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>1.2900 is the first place to look for a short and if it shoots higher then definitely 1.3000 for me.<\/p>\n<p><strong>This week&#8217;s European election results will be closely watched and spun by Remainers and Brexiteers alike. It is also a Bank Holiday on Monday which will probably mean thin liquidity which can result in crazy spikes, so trading it on Monday is VERY risky.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Intraday watch 1.2900. Best advice keep your eye on UK news<em> here: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newsnow.co.uk\/h\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">https:\/\/www.newsnow.co.uk\/h\/<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Euro\/Gbp<\/strong>: Technically I am looking for a long at 0.8760.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Euro\/$<\/strong>: The areas to watch: 1.1300 for a short (main one). 1.1200 is worth watching intraday. The other option is a swing trade up at 1.1100<\/p>\n<p><strong>Aud: 0.7000 is now obviously the big area to short on a pullback.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Nzd\/$\u00a0<\/strong> My bias is still to short, so if it pulls back up to 0.6700 I will short it again. If it surprises everybody and spikes higher after all the news I will short at 0.6800<\/p>\n<p>0.6500 is a HUGE area. It&#8217;s a weekly trend line that goes back to 2009! So I will look to long there, half stake as its counter-trend.<\/p>\n<p><strong>$\/Yen: dropped like a stone on Friday. Keep your eye on the Nikkei for clues. I am half interested to short at 109.20<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Cad: Oil fell off a cliff on Friday. So keep your eye on that. <\/strong>I am looking to long at 1.3370. If it moves up then 1.3550 is the place to watch for a short but if oil keeps dropping the Cad may be due to break out.<\/p>\n<p><b>Nzd\/Cad: member Surinder spotted this one &#8220;<\/b>looking to short again 0.8930&#8243;<\/p>\n<p>New members, please note: If I am looking to take a trade long, for example, 1.5000, I place my order 10 pips above &amp; 10 pips below for a short. This is because price often does not quite reach a major line and you need to allow for spreads. We are NOT a \u201ctipping service\u201d our aim is to teach you how to trade for yourself.<\/p>\n<p>For more up to the minute, updates do not forget to drop by the forum in Pierre\u2019s corner.<\/p>\n<p>Watch the video for more detailed explanations of this week\u2019s detailed analysis and trade plan.<\/p>\n<p>Click on the square button bottom right to watch in full-screen mode<\/p>\n<p><iframe src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/339831260\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Hi,I said last week that &#8220;we live in such extraordinary, political times that it seems that the extremes have become the new normal&#8221; This week Trump has declared tariffs on Mexico (he still doesn&#8217;t &#8220;get it&#8221; that US consumers will have to pay more for their imported goods). He is visiting the UK for a [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":215381,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","rank_math_lock_modified_date":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-215380","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forex-analysis","category-forex-articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215380"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/35"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=215380"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/215380\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/215381"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=215380"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=215380"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=215380"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}