{"id":218161,"date":"2022-07-04T16:41:49","date_gmt":"2022-07-04T15:41:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/?p=218161"},"modified":"2024-05-24T00:30:41","modified_gmt":"2024-05-23T23:30:41","slug":"trade-ideas-head-of-the-fed-doesnt-understand-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/trade-ideas-head-of-the-fed-doesnt-understand-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Trade Ideas &#038; Head of the Fed Doesn&#8217;t Understand Inflation!"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>An incredible statement by Jerome Powell last week. It appears that the Head of the Fed Doesn&#8217;t Understand Inflation!\u00a0 in <strong>October 2020<\/strong> I hosted a webinar where I explained the looming problem of inflation. How the money printing around the world, but especially the Federal Reserve&#8217;s actions would likely cause major problems. I have repeated the theme often since.<\/p>\n<p>In the fall of 2021 Powell and Yellen changed their tune that &#8220;inflation wouldn&#8217;t last,&#8221; but that it would drop by Christmas. Whoops, wrong yet again.<\/p>\n<p>Then in January of this year, I posted an article &#8220;Lions led by Donkeys&#8221; where I talked about the nonsense that the Fed, Powell especially, were continuing to spout about inflation.<\/p>\n<p>I said then:<\/p>\n<p>Most of the following is concerning the USA mainly because of yet more BS this week from Powell and Yellen. It could just as easily be referring to the UK, Europe or any other country.<\/p>\n<p>Also, it is not politically biased. I have no respect for any current financial leader nor those in the last 10 years. Yellen &amp; Powell for example have served both Democrat &amp; Republican masters.<\/p>\n<p>Both are highly educated and have been involved in high finance for many decades so they are not stupid, but they are masters of playing the game.<\/p>\n<h2>Head of the Fed Doesn&#8217;t Understand Inflation!<\/h2>\n<p><strong>Powells Inflation nonsense:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Last year Federal Reserve chair Powell said in late August that \u201cinflation is only transitory.\u201d and of real importance\u00a0<strong>\u201ctightening monetary policy could be a \u201cparticularly harmful\u201d mistake\u201d.*<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>By September he spoke about it \u201cperhaps lasting a little longer before dropping by the year\u2019s end.\u201d By November he dropped the word transitory in this exchange:<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHow long does inflation have to run above your target before the Fed decides, maybe it\u2019s not so transitory?\u201d Senate Banking Committee Ranking Member Pat Toomey (R-Pa.) asked Powell, who appeared alongside Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen.<\/p>\n<p>Powell explained that\u00a0<em><strong>while the word has \u201cdifferent meanings to different people,\u201d<\/strong><\/em>\u00a0the Federal Reserve \u201ctend to use it to mean that it won\u2019t leave a permanent mark in the form of higher inflation.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cI think it\u2019s \u2014 it\u2019s probably a good time to retire that word and try to explain more clearly what we mean,\u201d Powell added.<\/p>\n<p>Duh, so it wasn\u2019t that he was saying it wouldn\u2019t be transitory (he WAS) but it\u2019s because people didn\u2019t understand the word!<\/p>\n<p>You really think they can\u2019t keep making this stuff up!<\/p>\n<p>+++++++++++++++++++++++++++<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Last week he moved his comments to a whole new level of insanity that I find hard to believe.<\/strong><\/em> I actually thought that the video had been doctored, but no. Jerome Powell the head of the Federal Reserve, the reserve currency of the world, had this to say &#8221;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>\u201cWe now understand better how little we understand about inflation,\u201d As the interviewer commented, &#8220;that&#8217;s not very reassuring&#8221;!<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Powell went on to say that &#8220;This was unpredicted!!!<\/strong><\/em> What the&#8230;. x^%$_ I never heard such nonsense in my lifetime.<\/p>\n<p>I shared the following in my Twitter Feed: <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcwalton\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcwalton<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Here is your great leader..<\/p>\n<h3>Head of the Fed Doesn&#8217;t Understand Inflation!<\/h3>\n<p><iframe title=\"Jerome Powell: &quot;I think we now understand better how little we understand about inflation.&quot; #shorts\" width=\"1080\" height=\"608\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/lSpGbkYQ9CM?feature=oembed&#038;enablejsapi=1&#038;origin=https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\"  allow=\"accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share\" referrerpolicy=\"strict-origin-when-cross-origin\" allowfullscreen><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>He should have watched this video of Nobel prize winner, Milton Friedman, from 40 years ago. <em><strong>Friedman explains that only governments cause inflation due to the &#8220;printing presses in the basement&#8221;<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p><iframe title=\"YouTube video player\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/F94jGTWNWsA\" width=\"560\" height=\"315\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>I implore you to understand what is really going on around the world. To look behind the news. To listen to other opinions. Do not just blindly follow what you are being told. I talk about this most weeks in the live training sessions. I will cover it again this Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>Understand how your government and central bankers lie, manipulate and cheat you. In 2020 some senators &amp; in 2021 Fed members were caught &#8220;insider trading&#8221; as a result of information they had about the Covid crisis before it was released to the general public. No charges were brought and the investigation was closed.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2020_congressional_insider_trading_scandal\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/2020_congressional_insider_trading_scandal<\/a><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/uk.finance.yahoo.com\/news\/a-timeline-of-the-federal-reserves-trading-scandal-104415556.html?guce_referrer=aHR0cHM6Ly93d3cuZ29vZ2xlLmNvbS8&amp;guce_referrer_sig=AQAAAGUk5jhuWLwJ04E0NfRQ3mDyLxC-VEouXaWIbqjkYwKt0iCea9jNKOApn-aNgLGhFEVlTX3OIo3EJcgtVw5ziMNaa8-qeiPB3L_FOmjSGuEj3cnC_6PaZms4PLqlnr_QdwAWElY3ORIqasyNXu3cYO6f7leRTcbk9jvcBtgIt3kB\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Federal Reserves Trading Scandal<\/a><\/p>\n<p>I am not having a go at just the USA, as I am sure that similar events will have happened around the globe. However, Powell&#8217;s comments were so ridiculous I focused there.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft wp-image-218162 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/independce-day-usa-flag.png\" alt=\"Head of the Fed Doesn&#039;t Understand Inflation!\" width=\"400\" height=\"267\" title=\"\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/independce-day-usa-flag.png 400w, https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/07\/independce-day-usa-flag-300x200.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 400px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>On Friday the US manufacturing PMI came out positive so the stock market rebounded.<\/p>\n<p>I suspect it is just a &#8220;dead cat&#8221; bounce.<\/p>\n<p>When you dig deeper into the figures you realise as ever, that they have been twisted to suit the Feds narrative.<\/p>\n<p>Do not be surprised if markets continue to drop next week<\/p>\n<p>Anyway its Independence Day in the USA on Monday when Americans celebrate getting rid of the pesky Brits all those years ago \ud83d\ude42<\/p>\n<p>Enjoy your day off and for everyone, it&#8217;s best not to trade on Monday as liquidity will be way down.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The Forex Week Ahead<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Its a short one for me and I recommend you follow my lead. Monday is most likely to be slow due to the absence of American traders. Occasionally it results in crazy spikes, but more often than not it is like watching paint dry.<\/p>\n<p>Then on Friday, it&#8217;s NFP which we never trade as its forex at its silliest, so that leaves only 3 days. Having said that I made my target once again last week, just from a handful of trades which I shared with you in advance. You can find the results here:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"8KMfSvKwMB\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/trade-updates200-pips\/\">Trade updates+200 pips<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"&#8220;Trade updates+200 pips&#8221; &#8212; Forex Mentor Pro - Blog\" src=\"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/trade-updates200-pips\/embed\/#?secret=UypPgdLaWq#?secret=8KMfSvKwMB\" data-secret=\"8KMfSvKwMB\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p>Ashley also had a good 80 pip win on the Gbp\/$ that he shared in advance with you in the forum. You can catch his short video explanation here:\u00a0 <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcwalton\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcwalton<\/a><\/p>\n<p>++++++++<\/p>\n<p>Trade for clients &amp; receive a substantial profit share<\/p>\n<p>If you want to receive a substantial profit share you only need to make 3 to 5% per month. You can find a copy of the brochure here: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/dl\/FMP_Funding_Brochure.pdf?session=5e6f6b23cb55f79b8e3bd476ee3df491\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trade for Clients<\/a><\/p>\n<p>++++++++++++++<\/p>\n<p>The live training session: Here is a link to register for this week\u2019s live training session. It takes place on Tuesday 5th July at 11.00am London time (BST\/GMT+1)<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/zoom.us\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/zoom.us\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Then we can have a more detailed, up-to-the-minute look at what\u2019s happening and potential trades for the rest of the week.<\/p>\n<p><strong>MAJORS<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Remember I am looking for &#8220;A&#8221; grade trades from daily charts that I can place and then just walk away.<\/p>\n<p>EUR\/USD: Bias is only to short, but it is miles away from my A grade short. You can watch the 1.0600 on the 4 HR.<\/p>\n<p>USD\/CHF: <em><strong>Worked last week for 100+ pips<\/strong><\/em> &amp; I have a small balance still running I want to only long this pair, 0.9450 is the main area for me. I will split it in half once more as per Friday&#8217;s video. 2nd entry 0.9510<\/p>\n<p>GBP\/USD: I only want to short. 1.26340 was the sweet spot, but Ashley did better last week on shorter time frames, look there.<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/USD: It has done an M2 breakout. I now need a pullback to 0.71600 region for a short. I will also watch 0.7000 intraday, but not a forward order. Also big news on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>USD\/JPY: Not for me. Nowhere for stops long nor short<\/p>\n<p>USD\/CAD: <em><strong>Worked last week for 100+ pips<\/strong><\/em> It is currently bouncing between 1.2850 and 1.2950. I will long again. I might split into 2: 1.2800 and 1.2850 I will update you on Tuesday<\/p>\n<p>NZD\/USD: Shorting 0.6700<\/p>\n<p><strong>CROSSES look more interesting. Beware as a lot are correlated<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>NZD\/CHF: 0.6280 to short it.<\/p>\n<p>EUR\/GBP:<em><strong> \u00a0<\/strong><\/em>I will look to long at 0.8520. If it moves higher I need a weekly candle close to long there. I explained that last week. Hopefully, it kept you out of a loser. See the video<\/p>\n<p>EURNZD: Interesting to long, I will probably split in half: 1.6570 &amp;1.6610<\/p>\n<p>EUR\/AUD: Longing 1.4850 correlated with Euro\/Nzd<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/NZD: 1.0840 for a long.<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/CAD: SHort 0.9160<\/p>\n<p>AUD\/YEN: only Yen I will watch, possible B grade long at 92.30<\/p>\n<p><strong>As always, remember correlation!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>M3 -Shorter timeframes.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>I do my analysis on daily and weekly charts first and make a note of the MAJOR areas of support and resistance.<\/p>\n<p>New members, please note: If I am looking to take a trade long, for example, 1.5000, I place my order 10 pips above &amp; 10 pips below for a short. This is because price often does not quite reach a major line and you need to allow for spreads.<\/p>\n<p>We are NOT a \u201ctipping service\u201d our aim is to teach you how to trade for yourself.<\/p>\n<p>Watch the video below for more detailed explanations of this week\u2019s analysis and trade plan (click the 4 arrows bottom right to view full-screen):<\/p>\n<p>Regards<\/p>\n<p>Marc<\/p>\n<p><iframe src=\"https:\/\/player.vimeo.com\/video\/726310594?h=7d263de3b9\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>An incredible statement by Jerome Powell last week. It appears that the Head of the Fed Doesn&#8217;t Understand Inflation!\u00a0\u201cWe now understand better how little we understand about inflation,\u201d As the interviewer commented, &#8220;that&#8217;s not very reassuring&#8221;! Powell went on to say that \u201cThis was unpredicted!!! What the\u2026. x^%$_ I never heard such nonsense in my lifetime. I shared the following in my Twitter Feed: https:\/\/twitter.com\/marcwalton<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":35,"featured_media":218162,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"","_et_pb_old_content":"","_et_gb_content_width":"","rank_math_focus_keyword":"","rank_math_description":"Explore trade ideas and uncover why the Head of the Fed struggles with inflation insights. Stay ahead with expert analysis and strategies.","rank_math_title":"Trade Ideas and Head of the Fed Doesn't Understand Inflation","footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-218161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-forex-analysis","category-forex-articles"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/35"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=218161"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218161\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":219456,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/218161\/revisions\/219456"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/218162"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=218161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=218161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexmentorpro.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=218161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}