Weekly Analysis: A Volatile Week Ahead, How to Trade it?
Hi all,
When you had a look at the calendar for next week, the first thing that probably came to your mind was, How do I trade this week…
Well, don’t worry —this week’s weekly analysis video shows you how I approach a week like this, where we have 4 monetary policy statements and a bunch of other news all mixed in. The thing to note is that Wednesday and Thursday are the big days, as they have the most news which could move the markets. FOMC is of course the most important news of the week.
I know the video is 24 min long, but I have tried to make this as simple as possible so you can trade the week ahead. Let me know in the comments if you liked it. So grab a coffee.
I would recommend you to read Marc Chandler’s article as he summarises the fundamentals around the world in his articles and also tells you what to expect.
The Forex Week Ahead+++++++++++++++++++++++
For the week ahead, you have plenty of news. On Wednesday, you have AUD CPI, afternoon CAD CPI and then FOMC in the evening. Remember, times are changing this week, so FOMC is one hour earlier. On Thursday, JPY announces its monetary policy statement, followed by a lot of other orange news and then EUR finance rate in the afternoon. I wouldn’t advise taking trades on Friday this week because it’s the last day of the month, and it usually gives unusual moves.
++++++++++++++++++
MAJORS
I am looking for “A” grade trades from weekly & daily charts that I can place the orders and then just walk away. A “B” grade is of interest, but not an A yet.
As ever, I always look for multiple reasons in a trade. The more you have the higher the probability.
EUR/USD: Possible day trade around 1.1660 for a short, using the trendline break and daily 55.
USD/CHF: Waiting for a break above 0.80 and Daily 55 to long.
Do not take the Euro/$ & Chf at the same time. They are correlated so it’s the same “bet.”
GBP/USD: Not interested for now.
AUD/USD: In a range, waiting for a break above to then long. Conservative approach is to wait for the break above the daily 55.
NZDUSD: Far away,y but the A-grade short is at 0.58770
USD/CAD: Now we have the break above, waiting to long around 1.3890 or 1.3880. A grade
USDYEN: Out of all the YENs, this is my favourite. Long at 148.30 is an A grade.
Some are A grades, where I will place forward orders; some pairs have “areas of interest.” I have a lot of similar crosses, so be very careful with the correlation.
Cross Pairs
EURGBP: Now that it has made a new high I want to long on the pullback at 0.87. Watch the video as there are two ways to play it.
GBPAUD: Made a new low, waiting for a retest to short at 2.04657
GBPCAD: Looking to short around 1.87, but need confirmation.
AUDCAD: Ranging , leaving alone, AUDUSD better option.
EURAUD: same as GBPAUD but would prefer to short a little higher at 1.7920
NZDJPY: Broke above the EMAs, so waiting to long at 87.60
AUDJPY: This one is also interesting and I would look to long around 99.60
I have quite a few other “possibles” that I will monitor during the week. I also have some crypto and stock ideas that I share in the previous post and video..
As always, remember correlation!
New members, please note: If I am looking to take a trade long, for example, 1.5000, I place my order 10 pips above & 10 pips below for a short. This is because price often does not quite reach a major line and you need to allow for spreads.
We are NOT a “tipping service”; we aim to teach you how to trade for yourself.
Watch the video below for more detailed explanations of this week’s analysis and trade plan.
To find out more about our crypto journey, check out the mini-course, and if you want to get involved in what I believe is the next boom, scroll to the bottom of this page to find out more: CLICK HERE
You can watch the full video below, you can read the transcript or view the full screen by clicking the buttons below the video:
Ashley







