Hi everyone,
In today’s webinar I explained why we shouldn’t believe everything we see in the media as most of the time it’s lies and they aren’t telling us the truth. They are not any smarter than us but are paid to well to hide the truth.
I went through the fundamentals at the beginning and explained the past few U.S. economy readings. After going through them all with you, you must have realized too that it just doesn’t make sense at all. That is how even James feels who wrote an article yesterday on the fundamentals.
I showed you all the stats that have been released and where the U.S. is at the moment, but even after all the negative data, the U.S. consumer sentiment is high! which doesn’t make sense. You can have a look at some of the figures using the links below
I do think inflation has slowed down, but dont think its at 3% already. Why? Prices of goods are still expensive, rent and mortgages are at all-time highs, and Credit card debt is now almost at $1 trillion. Clearly, the numbers are not right.
long-term US mortgage rate rose to 6.39%
A new report shows that commercial real estates are at risk of around $ 64 billion in the U.S. The potential of this distress is around $155 billion if things get worse. If the businesses cant pay off the monthly amounts then we could start seeing bank filing for insolvency. We have seen a few of those in the past few months.
Commercial real estate in distress
It was announced yesterday that Yellow one of the U.S.’ largest transporters of goods has filed for bankruptcy. They were largely backed by the U.S government during COVID pandemic and had received $700 million in government loans. This will of course have a major impact on the economy as they employed 30,000 workers as of 2020.
Also have a read through Marcs latest articles, he gives an outlook for August and also summarises what happened with the YEN.
Below is my AUDJPY trade on which I banked 365 pips in total and had taken partial profits last week. I go through it in the webinar as well and explained my reasoning behind it.
You can watch the full webinar below:
Kind regards,
Marc